Primera DivisionScheduled

FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF

Sun, Nov 22, 4:00 PM · Camp Nou

Predicted score
4-0
Confidence 93%
FC Barcelona 93%Draw 4%Villarreal CF 2%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

FC Barcelona go into this match 1st in the table, with Villarreal CF sitting 11th. FC Barcelona have won 91% of their league games this season, compared with 27% for Villarreal CF. Over their most recent matches, FC Barcelona have picked up 60% of the available points, against 27% for Villarreal CF. FC Barcelona are scoring 4.2 and conceding 1.1 goals per game, while Villarreal CF are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

FC Barcelona

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.91
Goals For Per Game
4.18
Goals Against Per Game
1.09
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
1.00

Villarreal CF

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.27
Goals For Per Game
1.36
Goals Against Per Game
1.36
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
11.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.48
League Home Advantage Factor
1.24
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
4.99
Expected Goals Away
0.91
Sample Size Factor
1.00