Primera DivisionScheduled

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club

Sat, Oct 10, 3:00 PM · Estadio del Rayo Vallecano

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 51%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 24%Draw 26%Athletic Club 51%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid go into this match 12th in the table, with Athletic Club sitting 10th. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have won 29% of their league games this season, compared with 33% for Athletic Club. Over their most recent matches, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have picked up 47% of the available points, against 53% for Athletic Club. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 goals per game, while Athletic Club are scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
1.57
Goals Against Per Game
2.29
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
12.00

Athletic Club

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.17
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.60
League Rank
10.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.52
League Home Advantage Factor
1.14
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.16
Expected Goals Away
1.78
Sample Size Factor
1.00