Primera DivisionScheduled

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF

Sat, Nov 21, 6:15 PM · Estadio del Rayo Vallecano

Predicted score
2-0
Confidence 67%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 67%Draw 20%Valencia CF 13%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid go into this match 14th in the table, with Valencia CF sitting 19th. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have won 30% of their league games this season, compared with 18% for Valencia CF. Over their most recent matches, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have picked up 53% of the available points, against 33% for Valencia CF. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals per game, while Valencia CF are scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.30
Goals For Per Game
1.50
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
14.00

Valencia CF

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.18
Goals For Per Game
0.73
Goals Against Per Game
1.55
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
19.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.48
League Home Advantage Factor
1.42
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.26
Expected Goals Away
0.92
Sample Size Factor
1.00