Primera DivisionScheduled

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF

Sat, Oct 10, 10:00 PM · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Predicted score
3-1
Confidence 76%
Real Madrid CF 76%Draw 13%Villarreal CF 11%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Real Madrid CF go into this match 4th in the table, with Villarreal CF sitting 9th. Real Madrid CF have won 71% of their league games this season, compared with 29% for Villarreal CF. Over their most recent matches, Real Madrid CF have picked up 60% of the available points, against 40% for Villarreal CF. Real Madrid CF are scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.1 goals per game, while Villarreal CF are scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.7.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Real Madrid CF

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.71
Goals For Per Game
2.57
Goals Against Per Game
1.14
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
4.00

Villarreal CF

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
1.86
Goals Against Per Game
1.71
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
9.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.52
League Home Advantage Factor
1.14
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
3.42
Expected Goals Away
1.34
Sample Size Factor
1.00