Serie AScheduled

SS Lazio vs AC Monza

Sun, Oct 11, 4:00 PM · Stadio Olimpico

Predicted score
3-0
Confidence 88%
SS Lazio 88%Draw 8%AC Monza 3%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

SS Lazio go into this match 3rd in the table, with AC Monza sitting 16th. SS Lazio have won 80% of their league games this season, compared with 20% for AC Monza. Over their most recent matches, SS Lazio have picked up 87% of the available points, against 27% for AC Monza. SS Lazio are scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.6 goals per game, while AC Monza are scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

SS Lazio

Form
0.87
Win Rate
0.80
Goals For Per Game
1.60
Goals Against Per Game
0.60
Clean Sheet Rate
0.60
League Rank
3.00

AC Monza

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
1.60
Goals Against Per Game
2.40
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
16.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.45
League Home Advantage Factor
1.13
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
3.44
Expected Goals Away
0.60
Sample Size Factor
1.00