UEFA Champions LeagueScheduled

Manchester City FC vs SSC Napoli

Tue, Nov 24, 11:00 PM · Etihad Stadium

Predicted score
4-1
Confidence 88%
Manchester City FC 88%Draw 7%SSC Napoli 4%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Manchester City FC go into this match 7th in the table, with SSC Napoli sitting 27th. Manchester City FC have won 75% of their league games this season, compared with 25% for SSC Napoli. Over their most recent matches, Manchester City FC have picked up 40% of the available points, against 33% for SSC Napoli. Manchester City FC are scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while SSC Napoli are scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Manchester City FC

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.75
Goals For Per Game
3.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
7.00

SSC Napoli

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.50
Goals Against Per Game
2.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
27.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
2.02
League Home Advantage Factor
1.16
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
4.56
Expected Goals Away
1.21
Sample Size Factor
1.00