UEFA Champions LeagueScheduled

PAE AEK vs Real Madrid CF

Wed, Nov 4, 8:45 PM · Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Predicted score
1-4
Confidence 52%
PAE AEK 5%Draw 8%Real Madrid CF 87%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

PAE AEK go into this match 27th in the table, with Real Madrid CF sitting 9th. PAE AEK have won 33% of their league games this season, compared with 100% for Real Madrid CF. Over their most recent matches, PAE AEK have picked up 33% of the available points, against 80% for Real Madrid CF. PAE AEK are scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.7 goals per game, while Real Madrid CF are scoring 3.0 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

PAE AEK

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
2.67
Clean Sheet Rate
0.33
League Rank
27.00

Real Madrid CF

Form
0.80
Win Rate
1.00
Goals For Per Game
3.00
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
9.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
2.08
League Home Advantage Factor
1.27
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.14
Expected Goals Away
4.31
Sample Size Factor
0.60